Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Utah Utes

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e0df9e4cf69e04ad6151bdfdcf9dae6a9d10f8ec5ae721073d4ee7a0588f52

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mississippi State Bulldogsof Mississippi State Bulldogs, Utah Utes
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,406 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Utah Utes	46c	6,674$3,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,077.94	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	54c	6,000$3,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,760	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Utah Utes	1c	4,766$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	48c	2,601$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.29	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Utah Utes	3c	1,564$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.39	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	53c	1,158$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.68	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	58c	706.11$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.95	556	57.4%319 W · 237 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	80c	650.94$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.28	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Utah Utes	54c	488.56$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.94	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	34c	370.5$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.12	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Utah Utes	35c	359.41$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.86	159	39%62 W · 97 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	59c	340.46$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.46	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Utah Utes	18c	310.12$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	52c	300.99$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.01	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Utah Utes	59c	300$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.31	154	42.9%66 W · 88 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Utah Utes	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	294	44.6%131 W · 163 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	44c	210.99$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.74	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	23c	167.33$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.23	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Utah Utes	45c	167$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.15	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Utah Utes	76c	150$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.3	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Utah Utes	45c	150$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Utah Utes	45c	143$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.35	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	66c	141.43$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.47	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	72c	140.71$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Utah Utes	44c	114.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.42	301	39.2%118 W · 183 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Utah Utes	79c	100$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Utah Utes	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	109	39.4%43 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	95.97$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.19	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	56c	88.39$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Utah Utes	45c	83$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.35	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Utah Utes	45c	83$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.35	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	37c	74.68$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.04	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Utah Utes	21c	64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	399	3.3%13 W · 386 L	-21.0wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Utah Utes	45c	64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bb5…d97cbacked Utah Utes	69c	58.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Utah Utes	45c	53$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Utah Utes	53c	47.36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	44$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Utah Utes	47c	42.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Utah Utes	45c	42$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	41$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.45	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Utah Utes	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-5.1wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-50%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b28…02dbbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	56c	35.8$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.8	35	77.1%27 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	71cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	33c	33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.05	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4918…3db7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.4wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ee…f2d4backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.15	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.15	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc877…6f17backed Utah Utes	65c	25.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs	65c	22$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.81	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed Mississippi State Bulldogs	55c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Utah Utes

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market