TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes53c32,100$17,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,089.051560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No48c14,696$7,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,033.94825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c10,314$4,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,620.722,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes57c7,946$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,416.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No24c4,555$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.3844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.9860%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb35f…922ebacked Yes52c3,356$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a4…ce1fbacked No48c3,346$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes54c3,136$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.110360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.974037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No42c2,794$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.583745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No45c2,455$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.6627939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes54c2,407$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9404639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes53c1,830$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.371361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes54c1,808$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.171241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes52c1,530$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.285545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No46c1,516$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9833847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes54c1,477$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.2684850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No30c1,451$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3352243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes56c1,427$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked No45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Yes54c1,328$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.951478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+49.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No27c1,304$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.444042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No43c1,256$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes53c1,244$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.0833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No16c1,171$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.945518.2%10 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No13c1,143$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.598027.5%22 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9970%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes54c931.44$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.445154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes54c920.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.059954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95d…ca8dbacked No48c770.79$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No22c732.91$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.866139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes77c720.48$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.261872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No49c695$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.558420.2%17 W · 67 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No48c595.47$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.545660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes51c570.74$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.842576%19 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.541190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick72cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes53c421.9$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.357550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes54c407.04$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.241764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+69%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1843669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No46c399.95$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.982263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No47c381$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0712545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes54c380$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes57c351.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes54c350.24$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.114454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c302.62$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.133,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked No12c301.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.332240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No44c296.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.671931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No36c287.64$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4811644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes55c274.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.522040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb134…af68backed No20c260$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…13bebacked Yes77c259.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes53c254.22$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.268658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No47c250$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.54420.5%9 W · 35 L-11.8wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No46c227.85$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.472245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes57c215.81$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.233070%21 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x882c…d6ecbacked Yes54c208$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x836c…8ef5backed Yes53c208$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x472f…fdcdbacked Yes55c208$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…9ae9backed No45c207$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1406…311fbacked No46c206$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.53948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No47c204.62$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8874155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa336…01f4backed No47c204$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes54c204$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5219934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc904…f892backed No47c203$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7408…4e4dbacked Yes53c199$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23d…d85cbacked No45c199$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa241…62b3backed Yes55c198$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1896…433abacked No46c197$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fac…3625backed Yes54c195$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed No13c187.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No44c172.19$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4315846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fe…025cbacked Yes77c165$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed No49c142.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…63e6backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked No47c113.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.21747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No47c112$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6436136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.44748.9%23 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes75c106.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3542844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked No19c102.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…9407backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0469…2f00backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadd2…350cbacked No48c99.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Yes56c96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.241838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No43c91.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.229037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x097f…df92backed No23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.