TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc71…2ac1backed Over47c19,756$9,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,506.43333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c9,577$5,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,062.6652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.9821548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over47c5,261$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.881369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under53c3,917$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.239350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c3,809$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.6898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under53c3,586$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.113348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7742…f93cbacked Under53c2,841$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c1,849$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.4845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under54c1,650$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over45c1,445$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.672729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under55c1,443$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under55c1,429$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7866829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under39c1,128$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.1559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5942227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.967954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under46c1,076$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.952737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Over46c1,027$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under54c999.97$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.984727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Under24c929.86$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2237145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over46c924$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.887938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c872.34$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under3c757.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.577412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c755.07$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.1912049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over47c639$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.673164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over76c624.98$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under54c616$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.6414142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over45c599.99$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32916842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c599.99$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13210361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c532.82$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.422947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9113137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under56c502$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.122653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over46c457.63$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.124736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.536241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9da…81d7backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2127847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over77c383.12$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1211268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over47c374.47$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4733951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over46c347.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8314748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3319353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3313142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under53c296.51$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1528556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under23c274.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.255556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under55c272.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.915752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over77c252.03$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0614351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over46c246.59$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1621650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…ea19backed Over46c234.8$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.791250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.224235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Over46c216.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.155554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over45c214.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.765046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1925…8249backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.775554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ed…2b21backed Over46c212.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.571758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under42c199.14$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.715045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under41c196$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4124849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under54c191.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8420841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under53c180$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.48852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under36c175.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.216050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c169.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5715648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c145.91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.752,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa536…83e7backed Over46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.431070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.94271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under52c112$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2412452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1115238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over47c110.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.441361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under55c109.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74362.8%27 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over46c108.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3738744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under55c105.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.992339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x553e…5526backed Over47c104.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over62c103.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.242871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c101.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over48c100.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.263745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5417955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under53c99.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9913350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x079e…fef9backed Over46c90.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Over47c89.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.684854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Under56c89.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under54c87.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3216448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdb…a1b6backed Under23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under54c83.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0737250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over46c81.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.755632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.