Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2522b900f62d5cf7caa27eb393ceec2f173ee5658318784c4c4f062d3a3a78ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,721$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.26 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 44c | 1,871$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.15 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 53c | 798.89$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 45c | 782.52$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.47 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…9cedbacked Under | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 190.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f15…cf99backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…b05cbacked Under | 58c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1e…edc0backed Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.