Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ba4e3457a23897048753b4c49bcc652af1f1ba03b2e9428858ac83e7f805686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Saint-Germain FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Stade Brestois 29
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Stade Brestois 29 | 48c | 688.42$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.55 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 52c | 242.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…2030backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 52c | 199.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stade Brestois 29 | 51c | 125.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 48c | 79.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stade Brestois 29 | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Stade Brestois 29 | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Stade Brestois 29 | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…45bbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)this page
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.