Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc68b30201a7491dc6c7226d7d7adb16802def3420028557c1fc20491cec9ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 574.12$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed No | 6c | 366.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…8824backed Yes | 57c | 267$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Yes | 43c | 96.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 60c | 69.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…3b61backed Yes | 40c | 69.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 34c | 69.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 54.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4742…6576backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…5430backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?this page
- Arsenal FC leading at halftime?No won
- West Ham United FC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.