Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c0f727c73c0e74d8d2d3c2355336206558d23f4e16a197d3210aa6e5545ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 56c | 1,801$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.52 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 1,577$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.96 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 924.28$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.89 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 738.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.83 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 56c | 608.12$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 551$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.81 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 56c | 538.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 56c | 534.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926b…d7e4backed Yes | 56c | 458.48$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 407.12$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 43c | 407$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 57c | 349.42$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 10c | 336$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.12 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 8c | 243.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 120.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 98.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 44c | 90.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 89.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed No | 14c | 88.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 56c | 62.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 56.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…43debacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7033…0945backed Yes | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…b856backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF leading at halftime?this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.