Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf39df2fed76c3789e10ac32932c29cf4a4c3ef3afca092e617be0003f69106a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 7,222$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.83 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 54c | 2,943$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 35c | 1,900$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.99 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 7c | 999.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e7…2ecfbacked Over | 54c | 658.1$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 66c | 591.97$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Over | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 51c | 342.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 16c | 282.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 36c | 273.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 65c | 226$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 208.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 67c | 197.31$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 67c | 186$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 68c | 167.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 13c | 152.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 139.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7513backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 64c | 129.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 48c | 106.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 33c | 105.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 72c | 103.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 88.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 83.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 73.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…de52backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 74c | 53.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 74c | 50.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 46c | 49.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 34c | 45.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 50c | 37.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 64c | 36.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…f050backed Under | 65c | 29.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…2e5bbacked Under | 67c | 22.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 74c | 16.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 60c | 16.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.