Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc51b170d6b7412296baf17d6705235f16747328d6f8cd40666f9ab7ed427e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 9,175$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.77 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 5c | 7,050$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 60c | 2,649$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.73 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 2,399$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.37 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 49c | 1,985$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 1c | 1,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 1,737$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 1,147$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.86 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,077$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.14 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 55c | 1,017$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.01 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 60c | 813.7$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.89 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 46c | 591.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.32 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 420.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 361.18$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…011ebacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 267$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 48c | 208.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 56c | 193.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 26c | 180.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 129$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…1fadbacked Over | 69c | 110.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…4e2cbacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 103.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 54c | 90.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 85.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 55c | 81.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 75.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…9136backed Over | 56c | 61.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 55.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 56c | 52.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 26c | 38.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Under | 45c | 35.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 45c | 32.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 53c | 31.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 57c | 29.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 45c | 27.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…2a65backed Over | 58c | 20.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 71c | 16.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 71c | 14.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.