Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3c2ecf9a5b243a5f9c15334c680e0b86dd209e118e796ff57e0a096fa3481e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Unionof Inter Miami CF, Philadelphia Union
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Union | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Inter Miami CF | 32c | 859.61$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.89 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Inter Miami CF | 12c | 717.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Inter Miami CF | 14c | 600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Philadelphia Union | 69c | 591.97$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.51 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Inter Miami CF | 29c | 483.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Inter Miami CF | 32c | 251.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Inter Miami CF | 31c | 209.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Union | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Union | 73c | 116.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Philadelphia Union | 71c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Philadelphia Union | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Inter Miami CF | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Inter Miami CF | 23c | 87.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Philadelphia Union | 69c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Inter Miami CF | 29c | 72.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Inter Miami CF | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Inter Miami CF | 31c | 71.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Philadelphia Union | 71c | 59.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Philadelphia Union | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Philadelphia Union | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Philadelphia Union | 70c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.