Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45554fe1d87258fe0fc17f147f701042037fe09acc1f184e1b8edd70d5d7b45b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 746.69$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.81 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 37c | 601.7$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 479.79$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 62c | 441.03$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.59 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 38c | 263.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 63c | 237.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 38c | 189.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 63c | 155.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 63c | 142$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 63c | 127.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 38c | 126.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 38c | 69.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 69.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 66.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 36c | 46.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 36c | 43.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 64c | 39.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 37c | 36.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Yes | 66c | 30.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…ff1cbacked Yes | 63c | 25.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.