Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa8caf9ae5dbbc8503b199b8ade083a6770938a7f1a807f534a74d685f3bf5d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 67,304$44,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,757.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 48,167$15,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,765.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 39c | 28,205$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 38c | 15,800$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,005.86 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes | 35c | 12,949$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 40c | 6,500$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 62c | 3,900$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 3,555$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.81 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 61c | 3,547$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.45 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 62c | 3,200$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 61c | 2,885$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.26 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 2,048$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.12 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.77 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 61c | 1,472$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.08 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 62c | 1,391$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.39 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 61c | 1,296$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.44 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 32c | 1,157$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,077$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,075$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.08 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 883.91$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.73 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 41c | 880.24$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.9 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 59c | 846.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 62c | 800$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 708.38$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 62c | 582.39$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.13 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 19c | 566$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…08eebacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 262 | 43.1%113 W · 149 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 61c | 512.92$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 61c | 501$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.39 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 35c | 410.34$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 62c | 400.73$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 62c | 400$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 18c | 398.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 39c | 370$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 30c | 329.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 68c | 326.28$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 35c | 275.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Yes | 35c | 268.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…cdb2backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Yes | 38c | 249.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…5e6abacked Yes | 36c | 247.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 67c | 219$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 61c | 210$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 38c | 206.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 62c | 202.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…b8d3backed Yes | 41c | 185.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…7c03backed Yes | 40c | 181.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 60c | 179.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes | 38c | 165.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 38c | 132$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…6a80backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…a388backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 107$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 68c | 106.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…9bd0backed Yes | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 62c | 88.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 63c | 84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…1d46backed Yes | 38c | 83.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 63c | 83.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 20c | 79.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal leading at halftime?this page
- Colombia leading at halftime?No won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.