Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c6bd927549ca6837ec488c21673973c7f190522c7ffacb783f3c818fa86338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 6,571$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.91 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 1,494$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 1,392$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.9 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 29c | 1,215$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.85 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 20c | 962.76$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 18c | 521.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 495.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 21c | 475$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…b519backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…5beabacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 450$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 20c | 403.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 21c | 399.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 23c | 360$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 80c | 349.2$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed Yes | 20c | 293.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77c…ad9bbacked Yes | 8c | 242.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 22c | 223.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 212.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 22c | 175$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 21c | 119.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…ba99backed Yes | 20c | 109.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 18c | 107.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…42f2backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf473…6cdabacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…9ba1backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 77.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked No | 80c | 74.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked No | 61c | 69.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 22c | 64.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 80c | 60.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 79c | 55.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 22c | 52.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 21c | 51.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked No | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 79c | 42.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 78c | 41.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 78c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia leading at halftime?this page
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Portugal leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.