Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa39a4fba969972ac13f7a29f20549b830712dc23d28d2db82907c4dad1e7be02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 12,333$5,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.33 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 52c | 9,379$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.25 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.97 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 7,386$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 4,322$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 41c | 3,619$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.71 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,109$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.62 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 7c | 2,820$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 2,612$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 2,325$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 60c | 2,119$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.4 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 60c | 1,546$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.56 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 70c | 1,046$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.15 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 47c | 970.68$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.46 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 40c | 723.13$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.88 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 630.66$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.09 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 42c | 556.88$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.93 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 521.95$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.95 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…ca6abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…dd3abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 60c | 414.25$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.55 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Yes | 63c | 412.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…e6e3backed Yes | 40c | 360$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…1259backed Yes | 72c | 347.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 53c | 298.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…bc8ebacked No | 11c | 267.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 257.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 11c | 226.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 29c | 218.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 72c | 218$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…b519backed Yes | 41c | 214.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 60c | 210$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked No | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 68c | 187.29$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 60c | 179.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 48c | 177.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 41c | 177.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 175.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 41c | 174$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 60c | 144.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 43c | 135$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…28b0backed No | 59c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf473…6cdabacked Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…d738backed Yes | 76c | 125.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 115.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 59c | 111.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…a0c7backed Yes | 76c | 105.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…2213backed Yes | 41c | 104.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 40c | 101.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…102cbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 60c | 96.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 43c | 81.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…7499backed Yes | 67c | 74.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 39c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 29c | 63.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 28c | 52.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes | 40c | 42.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 60c | 42.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed No | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…22b9backed No | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 166 | 63.9%106 W · 60 L | +20.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…768cbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7640…1aedbacked No | 60c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 60c | 37.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Yes | 54c | 37.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?this page
- Colombia leading at halftime?No won
- Portugal leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.