TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Trevor Svajda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colton Smithof Colton Smith, Trevor Svajda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Trevor Svajda11c9,496$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.58,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colton Smith80c5,825$4,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.1911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38f…5048backed Colton Smith66c5,128$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.333737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Trevor Svajda27c3,183$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.466,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Trevor Svajda50c2,826$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Trevor Svajda5c2,054$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.123,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Trevor Svajda34c2,042$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.443,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Trevor Svajda15c1,622$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8116133.5%54 W · 107 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfaa…2814backed Colton Smith67c1,432$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Trevor Svajda33c1,263$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.156827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Trevor Svajda34c1,029$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Colton Smith69c1,014$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.491,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Trevor Svajda11c999.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051028.8%9 W · 93 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Trevor Svajda36c878.36$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.0425433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Colton Smith67c759.98$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.391,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Colton Smith72c738.25$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.264,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colton Smith63c720.08$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.198,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Colton Smith66c712.97$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4123159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Trevor Svajda34c652.44$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.831,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Colton Smith63c624$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.887549.3%37 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Colton Smith53c617$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.794,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Colton Smith67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0170456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Trevor Svajda18c451.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Colton Smith73c409.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1136554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Colton Smith65c399.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9930857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Trevor Svajda34c356.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.381,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Trevor Svajda27c339.69$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.562,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Trevor Svajda36c320.83$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.516047.5%76 W · 84 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Trevor Svajda35c320$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11281047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Colton Smith73c303.04$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0432935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Colton Smith65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10545744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Colton Smith71c283$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.281,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Trevor Svajda34c265.91$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.337,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colton Smith73c263.5$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.896,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Trevor Svajda40c258.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3567838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Trevor Svajda35c234.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.139149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Trevor Svajda34c230.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5692138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Trevor Svajda22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505516.4%9 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick21cpaid+16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f4…9514backed Colton Smith66c215$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+92.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Trevor Svajda39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0a…629dbacked Colton Smith79c200$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.416342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Colton Smith63c168.43$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.323,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe041…be79backed Trevor Svajda36c167.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.385377.4%41 W · 12 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Colton Smith64c148.11$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.841,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Trevor Svajda34c119.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Colton Smith79c118.88$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.116,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eab…d4bfbacked Trevor Svajda13c115.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Trevor Svajda40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Trevor Svajda14c108.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.324,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Colton Smith47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5311141.4%46 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Colton Smith47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5339941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Colton Smith54c97.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.55,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82d…7882backed Trevor Svajda19c95.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.385137.3%19 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Trevor Svajda35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Colton Smith61c74.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0365346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Colton Smith70c71.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8238664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Colton Smith80c71.55$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.632,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Trevor Svajda35c71.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8814657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Trevor Svajda35c63.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2267852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Colton Smith80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.512863.3%81 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Colton Smith47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.845235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Colton Smith47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.84339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Colton Smith47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.848235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Colton Smith47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.869438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Colton Smith70c57.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.081,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Colton Smith64c55.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Trevor Svajda35c55.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.337,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Trevor Svajda31c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.251,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Colton Smith70c50.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.232,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Colton Smith73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6226563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Trevor Svajda36c49.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1858745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Trevor Svajda31c48.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Colton Smith71c48.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.011,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b85…b31bbacked Trevor Svajda34c44.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511541.7%48 W · 67 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Trevor Svajda30c44.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.367139.4%28 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Colton Smith70c44.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5356070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Trevor Svajda36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Trevor Svajda37c40.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb0…408cbacked Colton Smith61c39.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.38946.1%41 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0457…4f8ebacked Trevor Svajda26c38.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103050%15 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Colton Smith65c38.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4218855.3%104 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Trevor Svajda35c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.342350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Trevor Svajda43c36.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6119845.5%90 W · 108 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc05…4eb4backed Colton Smith67c35.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.827561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd5…ce89backed Trevor Svajda33c35.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Colton Smith70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Colton Smith76c30.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3419474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Trevor Svajda35c28.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.012,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Colton Smith77c20.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5733673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Colton Smith65c18.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5731841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Colton Smith77c17.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1558539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c4…9b44backed Colton Smith67c17.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.87463.5%47 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.