South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd2e9339f2a5ed4e481048d1ec73d40731a818271c4024ce10272432ae2809c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Yes | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 20c | 765.26$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 80c | 756.28$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked No | 80c | 732.99$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 605.44$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 586.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 569.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 557.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 21c | 502.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…e7e7backed Yes | 13c | 307.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 20c | 266.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 246$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 238.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 223.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 80c | 209$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 18c | 196.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 138.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 126.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Yes | 15c | 119.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 18c | 118.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes | 20c | 108.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 106.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…03b5backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 71.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…9955backed Yes | 21c | 61.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 58.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 48.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked Yes | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 80c | 32.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…7520backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5f8ebacked No | 80c | 24.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.