TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes48c12,546$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,545.856944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes46c7,549$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.635747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c7,478$4,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,608.228,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes59c7,205$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.865147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes39c5,555$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick29cpaid+89.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No63c4,573$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.92,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No53c3,072$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.271,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes38c2,775$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.652,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes14c2,509$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.2621538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c2,349$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.991,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Yes19c2,288$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.484553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No44c2,218$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.5219953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84bf…f543backed Yes44c2,218$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No40c2,007$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.2827133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Yes16c2,005$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.053348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Yes53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94017049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes39c1,951$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.241758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes53c1,900$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89311855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes38c1,476$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.754022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No44c1,446$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.2375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes51c1,426$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.3123549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No47c1,400$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65823057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No54c1,075$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.711,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4706546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No22c948.68$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2425866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c769.35$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.965,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No78c675.51$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.051,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No57c652.89$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.171,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes51c608.12$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.842250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No56c587$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.221,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No49c578.96$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0424855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes40c520$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31118543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes51c509.8$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.812541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13099259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c462.06$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.591,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Yes48c435.58$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.214346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes38c394.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3126745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed No49c377.27$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.091729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No52c344.17$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.613451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No49c320$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No49c312$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes44c295.45$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4510039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No40c282.7$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.089641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes54c282.62$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.332653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14022058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed No26c278.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.323560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked No57c278$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes48c259.5$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4131745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.53855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes51c240.86$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.023831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Yes43c228.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.241752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes44c220.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4510242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No71c208.32$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7619155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Yes52c207.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.69875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes50c205.15$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.584555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes51c190.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.52564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Yes54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.41330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No58c173.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes41c170.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes42c168.02$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8713748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes36c150.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.521640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes51c149.97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes36c149.11$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c136.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.61,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No20c136.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3337540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c130.79$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.711,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…b3bfbacked Yes48c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No46c123$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes38c120.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No72c112$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6420055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d5…41b8backed Yes48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.253154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Yes48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Yes27c109.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.128720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes48c104.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5514446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.171040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked No49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed No58c101.58$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.257554.7%41 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.813839.9%55 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.