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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes45c196,973$89,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,683.1529446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No55c150,000$82,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c17,388$8,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,670.2920053%106 W · 94 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes49c5,209$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.385164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No37c3,849$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.12,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No55c3,200$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked No32c2,573$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.473046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No55c2,400$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No45c2,174$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.262657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c2,108$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.073,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No53c2,081$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.891,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No51c2,051$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.973,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c2,029$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.842,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No36c1,863$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.621,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes61c1,833$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.281,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No51c1,524$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.1511338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c1,414$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.161,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No49c1,225$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54099259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No46c1,156$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1111565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked No46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed No46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes56c989.29$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.297244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No55c942.83$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.1323056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No55c920$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50622457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c888.93$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.588,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23248922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No44c663.98$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1513545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No48c638.16$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6113748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes46c626.48$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.37047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No48c607.77$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4516051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No40c606.34$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.013650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes53c596.19$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.216350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No55c593.45$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.43243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No33c580.15$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0126745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Yes47c574.92$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.711776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes61c558.95$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.85,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes53c528$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.572,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No54c520$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No55c520$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28615857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c486$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f6…663fbacked Yes53c452.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No55c419$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.451,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No47c399.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18826749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No54c369.29$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9733560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No54c369.29$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No54c366.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9917540%70 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No54c350.01$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0110467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No45c334.04$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0312434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No55c320$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c314.01$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.611,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No54c312$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No55c312$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.620360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No46c309.46$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1319255.2%106 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes58c301.47$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2710649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e7…f7b5backed Yes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No55c280$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15422058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes55c226.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.136864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked No44c226.35$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.633447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes54c221.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.022268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed No54c220.05$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes59c218.47$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.771172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes69c217.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.749349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No46c200.84$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3533266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8817049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11024257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No32c199.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6418631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No55c198.18$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2178856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No47c191.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.991838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0286…9648backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+219.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes59c177.52$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2621640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No53c175.91$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed No47c169.6$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.214228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes67c165.67$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6711454.4%62 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No24c163.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7210819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x580d…bc42backed No11c158.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5205%1 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8583…ca05backed Yes78c148.38$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed No54c145.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.21030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No37c145.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No20c144.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.991,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x111a…2c97backed No48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No46c124.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8412958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No44c115$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.62536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c115$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.11,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Yes46c111.01$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.953756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.