Tennis · resolved market
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84a140c6ead44b88d98e6088c00444c6d6048e206fd6139d9343265121eae51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Nardiof Lorenzo Giustino, Luca Nardi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Giustino | 34c | 8,424$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.67 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Luca Nardi | 50c | 4,052$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.97 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 3,229$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.69 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 36c | 3,172$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.91 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Luca Nardi | 72c | 3,060$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.64 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Luca Nardi | 73c | 3,016$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.7 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Luca Nardi | 70c | 2,949$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.7 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Luca Nardi | 77c | 2,482$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.39 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 2,404$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.33 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 37c | 2,266$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.51 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Luca Nardi | 48c | 2,066$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.18 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Luca Nardi | 79c | 1,900$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Lorenzo Giustino | 24c | 1,700$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.26 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Luca Nardi | 79c | 1,633$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.46 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luca Nardi | 60c | 1,304$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.29 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Giustino | 46c | 1,290$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.78 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Giustino | 8c | 1,199$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 1,092$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.33 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Luca Nardi | 39c | 1,056$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.5 | 532 | 41.5%221 W · 311 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 29c | 997.25$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Luca Nardi | 70c | 806.27$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Lorenzo Giustino | 25c | 795.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Luca Nardi | 67c | 746.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luca Nardi | 68c | 663.03$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Luca Nardi | 77c | 610$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Luca Nardi | 70c | 516.7$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lorenzo Giustino | 18c | 499.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…a514backed Luca Nardi | 71c | 464.77$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 29c | 452.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Luca Nardi | 69c | 449.4$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 28c | 446$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Lorenzo Giustino | 28c | 429.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…2d0dbacked Luca Nardi | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…0d35backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 424$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 399.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luca Nardi | 65c | 397.32$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Luca Nardi | 70c | 378.57$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 39c | 377.53$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Luca Nardi | 69c | 370.43$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Luca Nardi | 59c | 370$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Luca Nardi | 70c | 344.29$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Luca Nardi | 49c | 342$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 334.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Luca Nardi | 70c | 329.53$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Luca Nardi | 68c | 324.98$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 585 | 53%310 W · 275 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…ebcbbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Luca Nardi | 69c | 314.27$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lorenzo Giustino | 35c | 313.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 51c | 309.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.59 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 55c | 306.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 60c | 300.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Luca Nardi | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Luca Nardi | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 369 | 64.2%237 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Luca Nardi | 70c | 281.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lorenzo Giustino | 25c | 272$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Lorenzo Giustino | 42c | 266.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Lorenzo Giustino | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Luca Nardi | 47c | 237.35$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lorenzo Giustino | 29c | 223.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 218$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cf…5dc3backed Luca Nardi | 71c | 211.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Luca Nardi | 66c | 208.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Lorenzo Giustino | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Luca Nardi | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 526 | 44.3%233 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Luca Nardi | 70c | 186.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Luca Nardi | 70c | 185$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Luca Nardi | 67c | 185$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 820 | 55%451 W · 369 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 25c | 181.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lorenzo Giustino | 31c | 177.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…8437backed Luca Nardi | 44c | 173.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 61c | 165.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 155$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 31c | 151$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luca Nardi | 74c | 149.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Luca Nardi | 70c | 148$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Lorenzo Giustino | 36c | 147.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 24c | 144.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Lorenzo Giustino | 21c | 139.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb705…b57ebacked Luca Nardi | 71c | 139.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Lorenzo Giustino | 37c | 138$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 683 | 38.2%261 W · 422 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Luca Nardi | 37c | 136.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Luca Nardi | 55c | 134.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 37c | 133.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Luca Nardi | 73c | 131.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…3b1bbacked Luca Nardi | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…b753backed Lorenzo Giustino | 60c | 123$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 143 | 69.2%99 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 32c | 121.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 112.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Luca Nardi | 70c | 110.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f05…9b6bbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Lorenzo Giustino | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab7…9451backed Luca Nardi | 42c | 96.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 93.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lorenzo Giustino | 60c | 93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Luca Nardi | 69c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Luca Nardi | 69c | 84.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 403 | 60.8%245 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardithis page
- Lorenzo Giustino vs. Luca Nardi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.