South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06d054b6d4acd89d2dfbd2ce1929a444704ce279ab1caf03e5a3fd29f9328b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 7,385$5,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.9 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 2,128$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 1,413$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 30c | 1,366$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes | 26c | 1,088$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 543.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 420.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 13c | 390$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 27c | 370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 15c | 350.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Yes | 5c | 342$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 322.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 17c | 317.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 17c | 261.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 14c | 249.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 247$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 192.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 125.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 20c | 117.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…93e8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 73c | 99.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 21c | 74.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 24c | 67.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 30c | 55.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 25c | 46.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 39.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 37.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 72c | 37.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked Yes | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 34.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 74c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 74c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?this page
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.