South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe49c8418fe0144d06e8b988eccb538036f9747c029eb823513184a29a8a3d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 9,297$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 5,353$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.25 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 17c | 4,242$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.13 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,147$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 17c | 1,836$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,715$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 1,627$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 821.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 7c | 733.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 5c | 707.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 17c | 705.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes | 7c | 642.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…2928backed Yes | 17c | 576.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 80c | 520$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 7c | 385$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a5…bab5backed Yes | 19c | 365.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 19c | 326.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 311.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 9c | 306$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 18c | 272.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed Yes | 6c | 250.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 8c | 235.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…afbfbacked Yes | 7c | 226.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 7c | 207$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Yes | 6c | 181.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 8c | 169$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked Yes | 9c | 146.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…16e3backed Yes | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Yes | 16c | 105.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 12c | 100.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…5fbebacked Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 19c | 67.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Santos FC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.