Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x760b49d629d02c13e7d60d1add425026ded3f12aa57fab7ba9ead8c073ff700b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof Zero Tenacity, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Zero Tenacity | 9c | 7,304$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.31 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Zero Tenacity | 26c | 6,150$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.02 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Zero Tenacity | 9c | 5,966$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.93 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 5,916$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.47 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 5,625$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.5 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 4,873$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.2 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 3,005$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.95 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 2,677$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.48 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 2,249$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 2,067$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.44 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 15c | 1,688$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.69 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Zero Tenacity | 1c | 1,660$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LGD Gaming | 79c | 1,566$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.33 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 1,324$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 1,110$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.35 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Zero Tenacity | 19c | 781.05$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Zero Tenacity | 24c | 646.48$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 611.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 510$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked LGD Gaming | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Zero Tenacity | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Zero Tenacity | 5c | 475$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 464.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 419.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 411.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 400.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 376.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 330.24$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Zero Tenacity | 4c | 309.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked LGD Gaming | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Zero Tenacity | 19c | 289.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Zero Tenacity | 18c | 278.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 271.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 259.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Zero Tenacity | 21c | 244.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 214.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Zero Tenacity | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Zero Tenacity | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…480abacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 149.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 127.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 122.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 120.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 119.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -9.1wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 99.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Zero Tenacity | 15c | 98.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 97.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zero Tenacity | 19c | 85.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LGD Gaming | 79c | 72.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 66.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 64.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 62.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 62.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…340bbacked LGD Gaming | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.