Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcb4c2cf369c2dfabbfd928f29b7ca6382779f40d35382aee36ee185c7a09a75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof Zero Tenacity, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 209,153$35,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,911.15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Zero Tenacity | 11c | 2,376$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 1,855$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.92 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 1,325$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zero Tenacity | 3c | 1,083$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Zero Tenacity | 12c | 913.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 712.47$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 7c | 657.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 634.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zero Tenacity | 6c | 627.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Zero Tenacity | 8c | 547.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 11c | 533$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…e21ebacked Zero Tenacity | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 352.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 316$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 314.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Zero Tenacity | 11c | 256.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Zero Tenacity | 15c | 194$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Zero Tenacity | 15c | 158.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 153.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 131.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity | 11c | 129.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Zero Tenacity | 11c | 112.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Zero Tenacity | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Zero Tenacity | 14c | 99.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Zero Tenacity | 13c | 97.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 89.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 80.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Zero Tenacity | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.