Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a7cbaa1ee99b2f8471b40cf1998b4cc49ebff76f8142699fabe47acf48b18aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 17,956$6,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,949.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 10,559$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.02 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 7,238$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.5 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 5,000$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 4,875$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.75 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 1,612$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.92 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,207$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 792.68$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 413.92$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 324.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 230$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…1ce7backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…6cbabacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 132.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 117.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 105.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 97.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…633abacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 33.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd908…9a3bbacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 29.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…e4babacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 29.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 25.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 25.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 20.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.