Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c6c15a6b3b429fb1658d69491cca3dae7b327a5c9160f45a38b76fb4032c8ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 12,530$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.93 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 12,014$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.4 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 6,639$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.69 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 5,423$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.42 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 4,500$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.88 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 3,697$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.14 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 3,410$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.43 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 3,220$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.85 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 2,698$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.12 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 2,234$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.24 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 1,770$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,444$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 1,320$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 1,212$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.78 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 1,071$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.88 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 995.99$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 993.19$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.32 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Zero Tenacity | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 664.95$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.96 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 578.88$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.44 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 545.79$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 499.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 487.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 436.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 27c | 414.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Zero Tenacity | 21c | 399.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…859ebacked Zero Tenacity | 13c | 373.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 33c | 361.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 340$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 324.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 324$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 313.95$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 270.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 265$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 259.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 257.91$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 256.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…e7f5backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 254.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 250.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 246.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 243.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 243$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 235.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Zero Tenacity | 27c | 231.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 200.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 195.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 190.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 189.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…a67bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 185$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 183.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 178.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 164$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 159.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…a1aebacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 146.93$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 144.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 127$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 118$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…a60cbacked Zero Tenacity | 27c | 109.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 101.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…eccabacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 96.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 96.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 94.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…eca5backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 81.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Zero Tenacity | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 78.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 75.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Zero Tenacity | 37c | 67.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…4c94backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 65.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 65.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 61.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Zero Tenacity | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.