Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152b541791205ae1a6d725f2006437fccbf2c43fc8e630bcf6ca1ff2cc0ee1a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 11,315$8,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.36 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 21c | 6,619$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.87 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 4,469$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 2,410$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.3 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 1,662$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…bdb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 1,611$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…859ebacked Zero Tenacity | 4c | 1,430$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,257$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.1 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed Zero Tenacity | 1c | 1,103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 943.74$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 762.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 608.12$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 512.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zero Tenacity | 22c | 505.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 502$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 21c | 484.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 464.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 398$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 269.35$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 235.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 233.54$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 227.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 216.56$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 172.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 170$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 141.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 133$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 19c | 131.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Zero Tenacity | 16c | 108.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 108$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 104.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…eca5backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 98.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 95.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…a67bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4368…dc40backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 63.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 61.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 53.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 48.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 31.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 25.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.