Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9068042b00e9007192a74822e4c7032ea33a423d31348d588f6484e8ea262056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Rune Eaters, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,586$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.96 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 1,285$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Power Rangers | 68c | 1,005$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Power Rangers | 54c | 898.26$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.29 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 735.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.29 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 664.9$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 622$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers | 59c | 578.21$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.69 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 412.31$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…8078backed Power Rangers | 60c | 409.21$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 390$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 366.62$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 336.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 324.83$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 317.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 313.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 296.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Power Rangers | 75c | 292.09$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 196.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Power Rangers | 68c | 169.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Power Rangers | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Rune Eaters | 10c | 138.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 137.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked Rune Eaters | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 125.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 121.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Power Rangers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed Power Rangers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 62.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 56.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Power Rangers | 53c | 54.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Power Rangers | 63c | 51.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Power Rangers | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Power Rangers | 66c | 44.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 62c | 41.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Power Rangers | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Power Rangers | 78c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group APower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.