Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18e9a078ca6586dc5412a0ecbb1c9cce34dcf72345eb01d6fc9388935d1e9470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 7,224$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.7 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 1,942$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.33 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 1,782$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.49 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 1,161$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.69 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 39c | 1,154$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.96 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 52c | 1,133$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.64 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 1,075$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.77 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 1,021$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.06 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters | 76c | 898.61$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 829.73$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.2 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 657.45$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.06 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 499.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 429.21$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Lynx | 51c | 372.43$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.21 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 14c | 364.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 322.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 321.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 308.87$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Lynx | 47c | 306.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.26 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 299.7$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 253.1$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 209.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 185.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 182.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 172.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e09…3250backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 132.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 77c | 102.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Lynx | 58c | 94.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 83.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 82.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Lynx | 50c | 72.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 65.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 54.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Lynx | 36c | 51.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Lynx | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 46.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 44c | 46.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Lynx | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Lynx | 46c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 35.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 29.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…acfabacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 23.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…417bbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 19.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…e03dbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 19.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed Team Lynx | 62c | 16.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.