Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fedf431875e041a28da71b28e8793ec9ed7dc347b2eadae121f8c69504510e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Rune Eaters, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,063$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.27 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 860.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 710.03$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.13 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 485.93$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.96 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 305$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 305$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 292.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 282.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 275$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Lynx | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 176.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 160.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 154.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 137.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 137$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 108.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 76.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Rune Eaters | 14c | 72.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…d4c9backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 59.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx | 46c | 55.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.