Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee3182cf3de6e3a1ee1e49a2545f6358e20bf4062f0f1fa7bd5d17c1fbdd0fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Rune Eaters, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 2,803$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Lynx | 65c | 2,355$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.39 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Lynx | 46c | 2,102$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.15 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 1,711$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.16 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 970.2$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.63 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…6450backed Team Lynx | 44c | 940.9$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.9 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 892.8$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 758.72$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.88 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 620.02$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.62 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 605.21$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 542.92$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.84 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 495.16$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.24 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 417.91$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.9 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 416.93$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 47c | 412.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.49 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Lynx | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…89f8backed Team Lynx | 68c | 311.13$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Lynx | 55c | 296.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 271.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 205.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Team Lynx | 50c | 199.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 194.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 177.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 176.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 170.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 150.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Lynx | 45c | 134.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 114.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Team Lynx | 57c | 111.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 104.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 102.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 102.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…d157backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 98.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Lynx | 50c | 92.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Team Lynx | 45c | 92.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 89.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 79.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 63.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Lynx | 49c | 62.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Lynx | 42c | 60.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Lynx | 60c | 59.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 58.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…72bfbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 55.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 55.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Team Lynx | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…d3cebacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 45.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 41.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Team Lynx | 49c | 39.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Team Lynx | 45c | 39.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 38.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 37.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…d963backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 35.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Team Lynx | 51c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Team Lynx | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…cbe0backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…9ecdbacked Rune Eaters | 78c | 25.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 78cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 24.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…9ee2backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 24.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.