CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3462b2cf470753866cd85484d0418882e0bbec793e5cb271b8b26bc946a4f67b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- THUNDER dOWNUNDERof Alter Ego, THUNDER dOWNUNDER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alter Ego | 48c | 5,340$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 69c | 3,638$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.63 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Alter Ego | 31c | 2,648$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.46 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 2,001$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.24 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 1,651$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.59 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Alter Ego | 47c | 1,409$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.92 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Alter Ego | 44c | 1,391$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.98 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alter Ego | 49c | 1,389$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.99 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Alter Ego | 41c | 1,312$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.46 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 1,055$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.7 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Alter Ego | 31c | 999.98$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 813.49$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.02 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Alter Ego | 47c | 708.13$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.11 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 679.66$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.36 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 49c | 587.29$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.58 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Alter Ego | 51c | 444$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 376.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 332$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Alter Ego | 39c | 307.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 274$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 65c | 264.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Alter Ego | 39c | 256.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 59c | 247.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 62c | 240.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 68c | 217.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 206.52$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 199.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 61c | 196.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Alter Ego | 46c | 192.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 186.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 181.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 54c | 173.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 61c | 159.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Alter Ego | 44c | 137.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Alter Ego | 49c | 136.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 40c | 129.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 128.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 51c | 117.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 112.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 104.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Alter Ego | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52a…845abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 49c | 95.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Alter Ego | 49c | 91.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 59c | 82.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 66c | 68.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alter Ego | 47c | 67.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Alter Ego | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 56.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 56c | 53.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Alter Ego | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Alter Ego | 50c | 40.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 78c | 40.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…6023backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 76c | 39.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe609…2948backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 37.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alter Ego | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 67c | 31.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 30.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…b02fbacked Alter Ego | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Alter Ego | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Alter Ego | 44c | 26.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Alter Ego | 47c | 26.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…95f5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 76c | 23.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…d349backed Alter Ego | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…9a10backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 1 WinnerTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won
- Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 2 WinnerTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won
- Map Handicap: TdU (-1.5) vs Alter Ego (+1.5)THUNDER dOWNUNDER won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.