Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d63c638e9607ccd55e0ced9348b8b3c191186df460113dc84776c55ca0a40ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 60c | 6,167$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.21 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 41c | 999.92$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.97 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Over | 25c | 443.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 57c | 272.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Under | 68c | 249.87$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 179 | 39.1%70 W · 109 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 62c | 246.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 42c | 233.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 59c | 205.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 59c | 166.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 33c | 155.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…ae44backed Under | 59c | 148.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 58c | 100.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Over | 43c | 93.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fb…66b2backed Under | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 41c | 73.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Over | 43c | 70.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Over | 43c | 69.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Over | 43c | 46.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Under | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 61c | 38.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…1a0dbacked Under | 59c | 28.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Under | 69c | 24.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Under | 61c | 21.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.