Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232fa7917b415942057d4e0f47c8fd9c0cd3435996d986abfea5c37c83209a13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 58,957$38,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,738.15 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 38,959$13,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,739.92 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 7,069$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.05 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 1,878$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.78 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 1,303$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.59 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 1,208$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.16 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 940.28$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.92 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Nemiga Gaming | 1c | 897.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 846.38$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.6 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 843.36$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 752.48$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.2 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 737.56$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 674.32$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.13 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 612.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 595.96$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 586.81$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.21 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 481.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 400.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 383.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.15 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 357.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 348.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 330.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 291.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 289.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 276.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 268.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 258.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 241.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 239.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 232.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 219.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 218.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 209.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 188.46$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 181.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 179$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 174.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 172.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 167.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 128.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 119.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 108.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 98.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 95.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…d56dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 94.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 94.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 93.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 86.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 71.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 64.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 63.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 57.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 48.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 44.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 34.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 30.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 24.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 23.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.