Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6d9e34c19dbca72b03c8172348f6bcc4c9d886eb28d25ffb5a8cd6fd3304fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Zero Tenacity, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 2,267$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 1,589$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.32 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 1,035$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.88 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 1,033$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.13 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 996$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 800.81$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 797.36$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.65 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 570.36$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 569.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…1b40backed Zero Tenacity | 3c | 494.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 491.9$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 428.37$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 380.43$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 355.5$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.66 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 323.22$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Zero Tenacity | 7c | 308.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 196.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 193.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 177.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 165.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 151.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 138.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 94.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 94.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 83.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Zero Tenacity | 24c | 82.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 57.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 48.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 47.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d11…890dbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 35.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 35.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 27.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.