TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DetonatioN FocusMeof Rex Regum Qeon, DetonatioN FocusMe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,268
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,268 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44d3…e454backed Rex Regum Qeon60c2,492$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.435263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5181…b4a2backed Rex Regum Qeon66c1,110$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.783545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea1…d143backed DetonatioN FocusMe57c1,108$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.252676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed DetonatioN FocusMe33c1,049$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.3635331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed DetonatioN FocusMe38c624.73$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.41,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Rex Regum Qeon4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15260%0 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Rex Regum Qeon4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154020%8 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Rex Regum Qeon4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Rex Regum Qeon4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15521.9%1 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Rex Regum Qeon4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15630%0 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Rex Regum Qeon63c356.65$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7640944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed DetonatioN FocusMe63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.466755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Rex Regum Qeon51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed DetonatioN FocusMe35c285.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.314564.4%29 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked Rex Regum Qeon57c270.5$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.322352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rex Regum Qeon53c259.75$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.671,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed DetonatioN FocusMe30c186.53$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0726436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed DetonatioN FocusMe34c177.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.355341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed DetonatioN FocusMe41c164.84$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4877929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe44c144$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.286939.1%27 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Rex Regum Qeon44c128$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.466438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rex Regum Qeon64c122.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d8…37ecbacked Rex Regum Qeon46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked DetonatioN FocusMe50c106.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2145033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Rex Regum Qeon68c102.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7034954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Rex Regum Qeon68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed DetonatioN FocusMe44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5612243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed DetonatioN FocusMe30c98.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9727956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Rex Regum Qeon54c98.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0515642.3%66 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Rex Regum Qeon65c93.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6130652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe35c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.554439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed DetonatioN FocusMe44c89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2414436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rex Regum Qeon64c83.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.641,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Rex Regum Qeon64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.227847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…26eabacked DetonatioN FocusMe35c71.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.34540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Rex Regum Qeon40c69.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8630544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed DetonatioN FocusMe44c67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7918261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Rex Regum Qeon55c61.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.663447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x673e…b0d0backed Rex Regum Qeon34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.963036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e53…5c9dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe62c51.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.616671.2%47 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Rex Regum Qeon39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015931.4%50 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Rex Regum Qeon55c48.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.85442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed DetonatioN FocusMe21c48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9299846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Rex Regum Qeon50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed DetonatioN FocusMe62c43.46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5145250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5e…75a4backed Rex Regum Qeon60c41.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.89922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed DetonatioN FocusMe38c41.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.621,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed DetonatioN FocusMe44c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5811841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed DetonatioN FocusMe44c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5815839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked DetonatioN FocusMe49c37.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1912552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe64c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.323666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed DetonatioN FocusMe36c36.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4260022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb95…1d78backed Rex Regum Qeon57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Rex Regum Qeon50c33.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.745147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed DetonatioN FocusMe39c33.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4416033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Rex Regum Qeon55c33.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.351,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed DetonatioN FocusMe31c32.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1769722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed DetonatioN FocusMe52c30.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5522542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked DetonatioN FocusMe53c29.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.791,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed DetonatioN FocusMe50c27.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.743342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed DetonatioN FocusMe43c23.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.418454.8%46 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed DetonatioN FocusMe73c23.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3732261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Rex Regum Qeon48c20.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe581…d77abacked Rex Regum Qeon60c18.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53b1…8e43backed Rex Regum Qeon77c16.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.031127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.