Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4105d5fa9823754cf227769e62611c3ce81336632fcca6366458df9729ca106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked OG | 49c | 37,227$18,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,386.37 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 6,565$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.9 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 49c | 4,101$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.25 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed PARIVISION | 47c | 4,025$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.26 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 38c | 3,408$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.89 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed OG | 0c | 3,307$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 50c | 3,301$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.96 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION | 53c | 3,137$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.59 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 2,643$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.62 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 49c | 2,450$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.55 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed OG | 50c | 2,432$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 2,000$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,852$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,538$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.52 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked PARIVISION | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.95 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,220$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.4 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 1,213$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.43 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 41c | 901.97$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.81 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 57c | 870.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.88 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 849.55$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.38 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 45c | 779.97$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed PARIVISION | 65c | 764.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.15 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PARIVISION | 61c | 626.23$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.23 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 622.03$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.03 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…ed23backed OG | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed PARIVISION | 61c | 572.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed PARIVISION | 53c | 570.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.39 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed OG | 40c | 557.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.04 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 55c | 500.02$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 55c | 489.09$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 44c | 474.91$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 65c | 464.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed PARIVISION | 43c | 444$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed PARIVISION | 57c | 441.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.23 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed OG | 47c | 412.02$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed PARIVISION | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed PARIVISION | 61c | 376.59$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed PARIVISION | 53c | 376.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed PARIVISION | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked PARIVISION | 58c | 343.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 52c | 343$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed PARIVISION | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed PARIVISION | 59c | 276.46$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 220$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked OG | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…e79fbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed PARIVISION | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed PARIVISION | 54c | 190.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed PARIVISION | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed PARIVISION | 72c | 180$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked OG | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 44c | 170.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 167.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed OG | 48c | 146.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed PARIVISION | 54c | 139.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…6078backed PARIVISION | 61c | 118.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed PARIVISION | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed PARIVISION | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed PARIVISION | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed OG | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 99.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed PARIVISION | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked OG | 38c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…5211backed OG | 40c | 75.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…e3c8backed PARIVISION | 57c | 67.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked OG | 48c | 62.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed PARIVISION | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed PARIVISION | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed PARIVISION | 62c | 57.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed OG | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OG | 37c | 50.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed OG | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…1931backed PARIVISION | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked OG | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed OG | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed PARIVISION | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed OG | 40c | 49.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 48.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed PARIVISION | 53c | 43.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed OG | 46c | 43.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed PARIVISION | 59c | 43.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed PARIVISION | 54c | 40.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed PARIVISION | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 39.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed OG | 47c | 36.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…09a8backed PARIVISION | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed PARIVISION | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…04b6backed PARIVISION | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group APARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.