Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa81386aa7bc04abd87c28ea6823b47e547be760cec22f6cd0f0166dc001080d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION | 65c | 21,618$13,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,630.93 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed OG | 25c | 8,000$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.81 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 39c | 6,659$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.62 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed OG | 37c | 5,936$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.92 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 35c | 5,000$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.03 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed PARIVISION | 63c | 4,315$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.86 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 36c | 4,000$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.42 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 45c | 2,957$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.77 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked OG | 19c | 2,941$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.09 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 59c | 2,699$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.83 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked OG | 36c | 2,453$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.58 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 39c | 2,442$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.06 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,775$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.71 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,697$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.27 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 1,652$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked OG | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 40c | 1,350$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed OG | 8c | 1,301$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 1,300$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.8 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,030$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.81 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed PARIVISION | 66c | 903.86$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.86 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed OG | 9c | 896.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ee…6577backed OG | 2c | 883.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed OG | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 43c | 702.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PARIVISION | 65c | 661.54$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed OG | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked OG | 8c | 504.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed OG | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked PARIVISION | 78c | 473.13$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION | 64c | 469.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed OG | 52c | 402.71$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.34 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 39c | 382.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…2ca2backed PARIVISION | 55c | 362.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed PARIVISION | 58c | 359.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed PARIVISION | 71c | 350.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed PARIVISION | 59c | 294.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed OG | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OG | 38c | 255$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked PARIVISION | 39c | 228.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 36c | 210.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION | 36c | 208.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 21c | 205.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked OG | 72c | 201.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 79c | 194.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 194.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed PARIVISION | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 11c | 159.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed OG | 12c | 157.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed PARIVISION | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed OG | 74c | 135.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked OG | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked OG | 29c | 101.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed OG | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed PARIVISION | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed OG | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed PARIVISION | 36c | 97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked OG | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed OG | 42c | 92.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked OG | 20c | 91.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed OG | 42c | 90.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed OG | 42c | 90.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed OG | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…a0a4backed PARIVISION | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed PARIVISION | 67c | 89.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION | 36c | 89.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed PARIVISION | 59c | 88.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed OG | 33c | 86.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked OG | 42c | 86.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 84.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG | 43c | 77.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked PARIVISION | 59c | 73.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed PARIVISION | 57c | 68.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…211bbacked OG | 67c | 63.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed PARIVISION | 35c | 61.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed PARIVISION | 68c | 60.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed OG | 32c | 59.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed PARIVISION | 64c | 50.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked OG | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…16f1backed PARIVISION | 36c | 49.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 59c | 47.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed OG | 36c | 44.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed PARIVISION | 36c | 43.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked OG | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed PARIVISION | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed OG | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed OG | 43c | 35.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OG | 35c | 35.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…c074backed PARIVISION | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed PARIVISION | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…04b6backed PARIVISION | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed OG | 43c | 32.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed PARIVISION | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed PARIVISION | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group APARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.