Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc00d8ebda393f5a484f21bdd1c04fdd5c7ed1c680980ee923edc97e847c113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Global Esportsof Paper Rex, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Global Esports | 41c | 484.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.39 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Paper Rex | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Paper Rex | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Global Esports | 34c | 251.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Global Esports | 42c | 238.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Paper Rex | 55c | 237.47$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paper Rex | 68c | 225$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Global Esports | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Paper Rex | 52c | 183.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Paper Rex | 47c | 164.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Paper Rex | 50c | 163.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked Paper Rex | 58c | 146.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…5100backed Global Esports | 54c | 124.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Paper Rex | 51c | 112.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Paper Rex | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Paper Rex | 42c | 101.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Global Esports | 41c | 96.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex | 18c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Paper Rex | 51c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…c181backed Global Esports | 42c | 67.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Paper Rex | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Global Esports | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Global Esports | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Paper Rex | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Paper Rex | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Global Esports | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Paper Rex | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Paper Rex | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked Paper Rex | 56c | 18.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Global Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.