Lol · resolved market
LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf71e166f6a360a5350554cee734ed995cce62130bbb5507532ceb3e65745b1d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TLN Piratesof TLN Pirates, ZYB Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x512f…a99cbacked ZYB Esport | 41c | 4,100$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…a444backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 4,100$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ZYB Esport | 1c | 3,756$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…8409backed TLN Pirates | 53c | 3,711$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ZYB Esport | 54c | 2,952$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.52 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed TLN Pirates | 55c | 2,887$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.54 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ZYB Esport | 45c | 1,907$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.93 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed ZYB Esport | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed TLN Pirates | 46c | 1,306$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.53 | 807 | 32.8%265 W · 542 L | -44.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 1,249$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.62 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed ZYB Esport | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked ZYB Esport | 51c | 1,200$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.5 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed TLN Pirates | 46c | 1,177$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed TLN Pirates | 54c | 1,025$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.38 | 824 | 54.9%452 W · 372 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ZYB Esport | 43c | 873.39$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.5 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed ZYB Esport | 40c | 763$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed ZYB Esport | 42c | 676.81$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.58 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed ZYB Esport | 60c | 663.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed ZYB Esport | 42c | 663.07$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.49 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed TLN Pirates | 50c | 609.8$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked TLN Pirates | 57c | 501$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ZYB Esport | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked ZYB Esport | 55c | 500$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked TLN Pirates | 60c | 466.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…2f17backed ZYB Esport | 16c | 418.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed ZYB Esport | 53c | 402.87$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.31 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed ZYB Esport | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed TLN Pirates | 60c | 381.76$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed ZYB Esport | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed TLN Pirates | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 305.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked TLN Pirates | 54c | 278.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TLN Pirates | 63c | 252.32$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked ZYB Esport | 44c | 252.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed ZYB Esport | 25c | 252.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed ZYB Esport | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 205$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked TLN Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed ZYB Esport | 50c | 174$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed TLN Pirates | 78c | 164.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ZYB Esport | 48c | 160.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…2db2backed TLN Pirates | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 246 | 29.7%73 W · 173 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…898ebacked ZYB Esport | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed ZYB Esport | 37c | 125.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed ZYB Esport | 42c | 120.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ZYB Esport | 63c | 113.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed ZYB Esport | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…40bbbacked ZYB Esport | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed ZYB Esport | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked ZYB Esport | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed ZYB Esport | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed ZYB Esport | 46c | 97.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed ZYB Esport | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked TLN Pirates | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked ZYB Esport | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed ZYB Esport | 59c | 80.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked ZYB Esport | 50c | 70.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ZYB Esport | 19c | 67.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed TLN Pirates | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…0d1bbacked ZYB Esport | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed TLN Pirates | 41c | 60.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ZYB Esport | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed TLN Pirates | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed ZYB Esport | 43c | 58.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed ZYB Esport | 59c | 50.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b7f3backed TLN Pirates | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed TLN Pirates | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed TLN Pirates | 50c | 46.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked TLN Pirates | 59c | 42.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked TLN Pirates | 51c | 41.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed TLN Pirates | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed ZYB Esport | 48c | 39.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed ZYB Esport | 44c | 39.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed TLN Pirates | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed TLN Pirates | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed ZYB Esport | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a76bbacked TLN Pirates | 46c | 22.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked ZYB Esport | 46c | 21.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.