Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Oregon Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47feb81701def6774cd65a0f65e118571c177b5fb2ed7e38c789d43925232b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Hawkeyesof Iowa Hawkeyes, Oregon Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oregon Ducks | 18c | 42,860$7,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,854.97 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Oregon Ducks | 16c | 10,513$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.11 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Oregon Ducks | 18c | 7,165$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.06 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Oregon Ducks | 14c | 1,886$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Oregon Ducks | 22c | 1,468$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon Ducks | 16c | 1,427$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Oregon Ducks | 22c | 1,229$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…ac1bbacked Oregon Ducks | 4c | 901.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Oregon Ducks | 17c | 499.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oregon Ducks | 17c | 410.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Oregon Ducks | 18c | 389.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Oregon Ducks | 17c | 200.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon Ducks | 14c | 194.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Oregon Ducks | 19c | 190$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 79c | 178.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Oregon Ducks | 19c | 143.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon Ducks | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Oregon Ducks | 18c | 133.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Oregon Ducks | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Oregon Ducks | 16c | 105.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Oregon Ducks | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oregon Ducks | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Oregon Ducks | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Oregon Ducks | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Oregon Ducks | 18c | 90.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b0…b854backed Oregon Ducks | 16c | 79.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Oregon Ducks | 14c | 79.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Oregon Ducks | 18c | 78.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…eeb1backed Oregon Ducks | 21c | 72.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Oregon Ducks | 17c | 68.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 78c | 64.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 80c | 26.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 80c | 24.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 78c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.