TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lamar Cardinalsof Southeastern Louisiana Lions, Lamar Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions1c2,796$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.932,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions25c2,114$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.572,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lamar Cardinals73c1,873$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.341,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions28c1,500$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Lamar Cardinals71c1,310$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.191,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lamar Cardinals72c1,152$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.165,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions14c1,014$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.063,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions10c651.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.261,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Lamar Cardinals75c531.17$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.173542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions26c355.69$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.351,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions32c307.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions26c293$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb69…ac1bbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions19c243.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions30c206.4$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9216341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions20c150.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.333,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions19c141.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.241,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Lamar Cardinals72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8948462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions30c137$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.16451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions30c125$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.58050%40 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Lamar Cardinals75c106.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6718167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Lamar Cardinals80c100.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1436845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Lamar Cardinals70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.297656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions20c97.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lamar Cardinals74c80.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.681,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions17c70.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.914,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd266…f250backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions21c62.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.464427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Lamar Cardinals71c61.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4699848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions30c52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions28c47.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.412,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions30c47.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1942339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions30c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cae…b135backed Lamar Cardinals72c40.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Lamar Cardinals70c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Lamar Cardinals70c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb385…c1a4backed Lamar Cardinals70c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d89…87b0backed Lamar Cardinals70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Lamar Cardinals70c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Lamar Cardinals72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Lamar Cardinals72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43450%17 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Lamar Cardinals70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Lamar Cardinals70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5725230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Lamar Cardinals70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.13748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Lamar Cardinals70c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.83348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Lamar Cardinals72c25.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Lamar Cardinals70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Lamar Cardinals71c17.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Lamar Cardinals70c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.