CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs RED Canids (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2531222f52cdad50ac492f6dd47b3b82a1ec9cb4c9c3febc72459dea57454d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked RED Canids | 58c | 562.17$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.87 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MIBR | 76c | 465.79$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed MIBR | 55c | 216.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked RED Canids | 34c | 213.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed RED Canids | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed RED Canids | 68c | 199.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…c3debacked MIBR | 50c | 183.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids | 58c | 113.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked MIBR | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked MIBR | 71c | 77.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked RED Canids | 40c | 68.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked RED Canids | 26c | 67.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…ac1bbacked RED Canids | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked MIBR | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked RED Canids | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.