CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be27cf20e1dfff00218476d1e127486c1e525845739e47e779f4d7e8d3ce6b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof NIP, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed NIP | 58c | 1,700$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.5 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 47c | 1,318$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 1,201$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.97 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed NIP | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked NIP | 44c | 339.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 46c | 223.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed NIP | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked NIP | 57c | 175.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked NIP | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…b931backed NIP | 36c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed NIP | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 47.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…4382backed NIP | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 37.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed NIP | 36c | 37.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked Gentle Mates | 65c | 36.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…6d41backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 36.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed NIP | 44c | 34.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 29.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked NIP | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.