TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DRX - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DRXof FULL SENSE, DRX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked DRX52c1,713$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.528541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed FULL SENSE46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.7828247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed FULL SENSE45c912.62$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.327456.8%42 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed DRX54c887.76$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.54744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed FULL SENSE68c562.66$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DRX33c336.63$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.891,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked DRX54c238.83$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2815342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a9…4e21backed FULL SENSE47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed FULL SENSE53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.66457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked DRX60c100.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.35540%22 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FULL SENSE45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4586747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked DRX42c93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9417543.4%76 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed DRX30c72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.466438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed DRX55c59.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.711152.3%58 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed DRX22c59.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2227411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed FULL SENSE30c56.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1718056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed DRX54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2314661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked FULL SENSE46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked FULL SENSE45c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6518241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…6d41backed FULL SENSE80c34.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.67366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.