Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5570b2ad880ab5944a4a77e93883d021f017e3a53cbbff954c425c76524e5eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 52c | 1,653$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.52 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 44c | 1,414$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.05 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 776.31$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 426.11$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 43c | 339.53$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 50c | 329.89$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 37c | 281$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 37c | 273.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 48c | 178.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 169.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 165.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…18bbbacked Yes | 43c | 162.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 64c | 150.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 47c | 119.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked No | 27c | 104.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 40c | 101.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 57c | 96.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 94.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed No | 46c | 87.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 86.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…df84backed Yes | 59c | 72.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…e6dcbacked Yes | 69c | 72.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 44c | 71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 39c | 68.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 63c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 57.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 56.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 28c | 49.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 26c | 47.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 45.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 55c | 43.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 65c | 42.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 29c | 41.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…9a06backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 72c | 36.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 71c | 29.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 25.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Yes | 58c | 23.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 61c | 18.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…15afbacked No | 62c | 18.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…a26dbacked Yes | 68c | 17.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed No | 64c | 15.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.