Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d8f160ea257f65cc9417731758db7a67025a0709ab5077823deadecb8955641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 4,599$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.74 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,558$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.3 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 978.87$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 449.56$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 28c | 366.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.84 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 366.18$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.12 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 341.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.83 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 263.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked No | 20c | 252$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 199.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 39c | 168.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Yes | 43c | 141.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…e595backed No | 74c | 135.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 25c | 118.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 113.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 69c | 105.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 102.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 98.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 90.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 85.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 64c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…273cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 72c | 69.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 66.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 75c | 66.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 75c | 66.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 75c | 66.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 75c | 66.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 24c | 65.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 74c | 61.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 61.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 68c | 61.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 61.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 75c | 61.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 75c | 61.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 66c | 60.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 24c | 59.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 73c | 58.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 55c | 42.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 40.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 34c | 39.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 72c | 21.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 72c | 21.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 72c | 21.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 72c | 21.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 76c | 21.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…8b4abacked No | 74c | 14.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.