Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e68fe355a5089763dd45b2bdeeba9eada1ac1a36a45940dd258bec70e94ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 5c | 1,660$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 60c | 930.04$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.02 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 908.68$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 900.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 30c | 800$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 761.23$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.33 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 32c | 751.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.82 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 67c | 477.95$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.26 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 457.76$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 426.08$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.47 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 347.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.58 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 329.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 72c | 275.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 236.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 21c | 233.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 63c | 205$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 37c | 205$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 71c | 149$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 31c | 143.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Yes | 59c | 131$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 70c | 114$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +115%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 95.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 61c | 82.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 60c | 81.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 31c | 75.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 68c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 44c | 48.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 44c | 47.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 50c | 44.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 42.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 33c | 40.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 68c | 36.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 44c | 35.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 75c | 33.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…e6dcbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 57c | 31.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 68c | 24.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 69c | 24.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 55c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6866…b8f4backed Yes | 60c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 67c | 22.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc1…6070backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked No | 67c | 19.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 64c | 19.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 64c | 19.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 68c | 17.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 69c | 17.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 69c | 17.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.