Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd305482552f81b3401a481a5e3529e14fecea6224cd9fff28190274d3a9f8e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 8,780$6,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 8c | 8,363$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.46 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 46c | 3,026$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 2,947$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.92 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 2,789$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.56 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 47c | 2,343$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 1,412$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.34 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 445.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 428.94$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 22c | 322.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 44c | 174.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 54c | 96.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 90.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed No | 61c | 80.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 42c | 73.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…f21cbacked Yes | 42c | 33.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 31.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 53c | 29.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 56c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 57c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 60c | 17.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.