Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morgan State Bears vs. Howard Bison: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x893dbcf45106711c63c7462ffbc9964f984ca70f373b2c52f0488c4e60721993
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $600,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 56c | 572,903$320,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252,133.05 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 44c | 299,094$131,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,601.36 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 44c | 250,000$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 44c | 22,300$9,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,812 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 56c | 16,000$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,040 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 11,010$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 56c | 7,972$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.46 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 44c | 7,777$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.88 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 55c | 911.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.18 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 529.66$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 46c | 446$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 46c | 306.52$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 46c | 83.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed Under | 45c | 47.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…2b8bbacked Under | 46c | 39.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 45c | 29.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morgan State Bears vs. Howard Bison: O/U 146.5this page
- Morgan State Bears vs. Howard BisonMorgan State Bears won
- Morgan State Bears vs. Howard Bison: O/U 144.5Over won
- Morgan State Bears vs. Howard Bison: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-14.5)Morgan State Bears won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-15.5)Morgan State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.