Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1281a5d311f935403b86960350a267c7c03f7715e0409f518a8c819077fe3d7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 54c | 325,805$175,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175,893.02 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 46c | 150,000$69,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 46c | 75,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,500 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 46c | 30,005$13,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,202.8 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 13,036$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 48c | 11,884$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,123.38 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 46c | 9,999$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.46 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 46c | 6,849$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.4 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 48c | 4,263$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 781.63$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.63 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 48c | 351.31$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 151.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 49c | 116.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 48c | 102.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 48c | 49.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 48c | 42.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 47c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 47c | 25.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5this page
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington HuskiesWashington Huskies won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 144.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 146.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-10.5)Washington Huskies won
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-8.5)Washington Huskies won
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-9.5)Washington Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.